Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 7.660905e-01 0.973450 1.205486 1.481535 1.798170 2.147305 2.558650
2025-07-20 4.862188e-01 0.748618 1.078481 1.510565 2.048782 2.685008 3.481586
2025-07-27 2.920948e-01 0.558061 0.936062 1.479033 2.206652 3.117965 4.314949
2025-08-03 1.717175e-01 0.418879 0.818606 1.445742 2.342636 3.522018 5.132126
2025-08-10 1.046968e-01 0.331651 0.748614 1.456807 2.526722 3.989839 6.048167
2025-08-17 5.616807e-02 0.248322 0.657634 1.413571 2.619578 4.331551 6.807770
2025-08-24 3.563492e-02 0.213238 0.640297 1.480187 2.873132 4.901892 7.891483
2025-08-31 1.887238e-02 0.170604 0.593225 1.484896 3.026194 5.331515 8.793508
2025-09-07 1.186631e-02 0.153619 0.595521 1.575632 3.318312 5.971363 10.005158
2025-09-14 6.460604e-03 0.133389 0.582944 1.634364 3.558777 6.541073 11.131468
2025-09-21 2.799534e-03 0.111261 0.556893 1.660934 3.743884 7.031275 12.154506
2025-09-28 6.740284e-04 0.085449 0.508475 1.632299 3.828755 7.367957 12.960968
2025-10-05 1.021531e-04 0.069958 0.485616 1.656864 4.012441 7.870989 14.035442
2025-10-12 5.146240e-07 0.056154 0.460887 1.672774 4.180439 8.354561 15.093572
2025-10-19 NaN 0.040131 0.415414 1.631195 4.237598 8.661711 15.895088
2025-10-26 NaN 0.027948 0.374515 1.591681 4.293180 8.965330 16.695878
2025-11-02 NaN 0.021214 0.354409 1.601498 4.443138 9.426438 17.744305
2025-11-09 NaN 0.013572 0.316514 1.554338 4.474841 9.689753 18.492644
2025-11-16 NaN 0.011770 0.319646 1.624881 4.748423 10.366406 19.892154
2025-11-23 NaN 0.008328 0.301842 1.629629 4.885484 10.813792 20.941675
2025-11-30 NaN 0.007779 0.313269 1.726151 5.218958 11.604580 22.540759
2025-12-07 NaN 0.006502 0.313954 1.788583 5.482442 12.279935 23.967817
2025-12-14 NaN 0.004804 0.304569 1.816808 5.673536 12.833618 25.210715